Seeking Alpha
2022-10-14 22:21:59

Bitcoin: Maybe It Is An Inflation Hedge After All

SummaryThe September CPI print was hotter than what the market expected. Despite the elevated reading, Bitcoin rallied anyway.Bitcoin's price trend over the last month has been far more similar to Gold than to equities.I believe the Fed will pivot from hiking rates and potentially even start buying US debt again sooner than most.Bitcoin will account for it.Yesterday, the BLS released the latest consumer price inflation readings and it wasn't pretty. Headline CPI came in at 8.2% year over year with core CPI at 6.6%. Each of these figures exceeded expectations. This is concerning because the Federal Reserve has been hiking interest rates 75 bps at a time throughout the summer months and is expected to do so again in a few weeks:CMEIt is the hope of the central bank that this next hike will be the one that the accomplishes what others have failed to achieve; namely, reflect a meaningful reduction in consumer price inflation data. The response to the August CPI reading was a massive selloff across broad risk markets that took down equities, metals, and crypto. That selloff was the market seemingly coming to grips with the idea that the Fed couldn't justify a rate hike pivot at the last FOMC meeting. Given that, it would stand to reason that yesterday's higher than expected CPI reading would have resulted in the same response, yet that did not happen.While it has given back some of its gains from yesterday's pop, Bitcoin (BTC-USD) ...

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